Storyline Desk · Finding 29

Fourth-quarter free throws: Melbourne 4 points, Adelaide 5, no 10-point gift

Run cost: US$2.16 at API prices (run on a Claude subscription) · + US$0.95 demo re-judging (judge re-run after the run finished)

The data shows no 10-point free-throw edge for Melbourne in the fourth quarter. Melbourne made 4 free-throw points from 6 attempts in Q4; Adelaide made 5 from 5 attempts, so Adelaide had the free-throw points edge by one. A fan's live-chat claim (finding 28) said Melbourne got a 10-point gift from the refs in Q4. Free throws are only one part of a whistle effect and this data cannot judge whether individual calls were right or wrong. One game is a small sample.

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Signed off for producers by Bart Lind (demo approver)
The data shows no 10-point free-throw edge for Melbourne in the fourth quarter. Melbourne made 4 free-throw points from 6 attempts in Q4; Adelaide made 5 from 5 attempts, so Adelaide had the free-throw points edge by one. A fan's live-chat claim (finding 28) said Melbourne got a 10-point gift from the refs in Q4. Free throws are only one part of a whistle effect and this data cannot judge whether individual calls were right or wrong. One game is a small sample.Points4510Melbourne Q4 FT pointsAdelaide Q4 FT pointsFan claim: Melbourne edge
How we know · rechecked by code
with x as (select action_id, period, team, action_type, score_home, score_away, lag(score_home) over (order by action_id) ph, lag(score_away) over (order by action_id) pa from pbp where match_id='36dbeb55-58ad-11f1-a69b-43a6b5595d3e') select sum(case when team='Melbourne United' then score_home-ph else 0 end) mel_ft_pts, sum(case when team='Adelaide 36ers' then score_away-pa else 0 end) adl_ft_pts, sum(case when team='Melbourne United' then 1 else 0 end) mel_fta, sum(case when team='Adelaide 36ers' then 1 else 0 end) adl_fta from x where period=4 and action_type='freeThrow'

How the agents got here

Evidence

Evidence recorded without a quote.
stats · source · match_id=36dbeb55-58ad-11f1-a69b-43a6b5595d3e; period=4; action_type=freeThrow; action_ids 1045,1122,1173,1174,1236,1237 (Melbourne), 1110,1111,1209,1267,1268 (Adelaide). Melbourne misses: 1173,1174 (score unchanged)

Suggested follow-ups

Context

Across the whole game, how did each team's free-throw attempts compare in box_team, and how does Melbourne's home FTA compare with its 2025-26 home average?

This widens the check beyond Q4 using box scores. Play-by-play exists only for this game, so other games' quarter splits can't be compared.

python -m storydesk run follow_up --game 36dbeb55-58ad-11f1-a69b-43a6b5595d3e --anchor 29 --question "Across the whole game, how did each team's free-throw attempts compare in box_team, and how does Melbourne's home FTA compare with its 2025-26 home average?" --live

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